What about missiles in Poland? This brand new trick from the international politic scene might be considered as a strange new evolution of the realpolitik syndrome of which I might talk a little bit more. For a couple of days, this headline has turned out as a major (and only?) international issue in France. Well, well, well… of course there is a trick.
France is not in NATO anymore...
Okay, this is not brand new information. But one considering the issues at stake might regret that France has almost nothing to say regarding European missile defence. But I can predict that this will probably change in the coming years if France allows Mr Sarkozy a decade of Presidency. In fact, the European Defence project within the EU will never come up to anything constructive (saving the "beautiful" 14 July demonstrations with foreign squads); thanks to French extrême gauche EU is now reduced to a uniformised market and no constructive political project will come from that anymore. The only effective military cooperation within Europe is NATO and I really wonder how long France could afford to be (partly) excluded from the decisions NATO takes for the continent.
This missile issue "arising" with Moscow is a crystal clear example. Just a couple of figures will illustrate that. The project contemplated by NATO is not new as U.S. began to introduce this proposal nearly two years ago. Moreover we are talking of ten defence missiles stationed in Poland and Czech Republic. Gosh I'm scared ! It almost made me forget the thousand(s) of Russian long range missile already aiming at something abroad (I bet Mr Putin does not aim at inner Russian territories) and the threats that represent either Iran, North Korea or Pakistan/India in the same area.
What's behind the information? I gave you my first glance bet for France position. But you should obviously go further than this aspect. The Russian / European relationships are not evolving in a good and peaceful way:
- the pro-EU / Pro-Russian opposition in Ukraine;
- the energy threats on tariffs made by Russia in 2005/2006 (which is now one of the major gas/oil producer in the world);
- pipelines issues in central Europe to work around Russian energy supplies / off takes (in Tchechenia and other countries which are, what a surprise under (civil) war or political threats);
- boycotts from Russia of certain product from EU countries (Polish meat…);
- opposition of Moscow for the transfer of the soldier monument in Tallinn by Estonia;
- …
All this shows symptoms of something bigger at stake. Find a map of the US military camps in Central Europe after the Afghanistan war and you may start to have some thoughts about military influence in the world. Russia has basically lost 10 years during which it had to reconstruct its power and authority after its bankruptcy in the early 90's. This period has now come to an end. Mr Putin is now in charge and I bet that the former KGK General has something in mind a bit more "constructive" for his country.
Well, I guess enough is said on this. You probably have noticed that this post was drafted in English language. It's just to prove that I'm not afraid of Polonium 210 or just that I really don't care.
Take care!
Bob
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